The world majority is rewriting the foundations of diplomacy and the Wests monopoly on energy is over
In economics and sociology, there is a well-known statement known as the Pareto Principle. Named after the Franco-Italian thinker Vilfredo Pareto, it’s typically summarized because the “80/20 rule”: 20 p.c of efforts yield 80 p.c of outcomes, whereas the remaining 80 p.c of efforts account for simply 20 p.c. Over time, this concept impressed Western “elite principle,” a handy justification for why each society incorporates an lively minority that dominates a passive majority – why 20 p.c of the inhabitants holds 80 p.c of the wealth.
Today, the precept has outgrown nationwide borders. In diplomacy, it has come to represent a deeper battle: the “world minority” versus the “world majority.”
The first group, generally known as the “golden billion,” started to take form within the late twentieth and early twenty first centuries beneath the Democratic administrations within the United States and their allies within the G7 and NATO. This group steadily solidified its place via exploiting globalization of their favor. In distinction, the latter group, resisting the formation of a unipolar world and advocating for a extra equitable multipolar world order, has gained growing significance on the world stage. This momentum has been fueled not solely by the person efforts of countries like Russia, China, and India but additionally via the institution of essentially new establishments for multilateral diplomacy equivalent to BRICS, the SCO, and others.
Achieving vital progress in diminishing the hegemony of the collective West, evidenced by the SCO+ summit in Tianjin (August 31 – September 1, 2025) which turned the biggest within the group’s historical past, and the second BRICS summit throughout Brazil’s presidency this 12 months (September 8, 2025), the nations of the ‘world majority’ have successfully reversed the Pareto precept. Today, these international locations not solely occupy a lot of the earth’s land and represent nearly all of the world’s inhabitants however in addition they account for almost all of the world’s GDP. Leveraging their huge reserves of important assets and constantly demonstrating sturdy financial development, these nations have achieved outstanding success by overcoming inside divisions and consolidating energy with the help of their populations.
In stark distinction, the international locations of the “world minority” are witnessing an reverse pattern. As they lose their main positions within the world economic system and entry to key pure assets, political fragmentation is turning into prevalent. In many of those nations, an lively minority with low belief rankings clings to energy.
This has resulted in deepening societal divides in quite a few international locations – from the US, UK, and France to Poland and Israel – and a transparent paralysis of presidency authority. For occasion, within the US, the Democrats, who’re quickly shedding floor, are resorting to more and more radical political techniques.
Following an assassination try on Donald Trump throughout his presidential marketing campaign, supporters of the Democratic Party had been implicated within the homicide of younger Republican Charlie Kirk (September 10, 2025).
This incident, coupled with a worsening unlawful immigration disaster, led 1000’s of protesters to take to the streets of London final weekend beneath the banner “Unite the Kingdom.” Criticism has not solely focused the ruling Labour Party and its chief Keir Starmer – whose approval rankings are the bottom amongst post-WWII prime ministers – but additionally the “shadow authorities” – the Conservative Party, which has steadily misplaced energy with every new chief from Theresa May and Boris Johnson to Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak.
In this context, the state go to of US President Donald Trump to the UK on September 16-17 might additional complicate the already murky political prospects of the present British management.
A major disaster can be unfolding on the opposite facet of the English Channel. As he nears the top of his second presidential time period, French President Emmanuel Macron more and more resembles a lame duck. Yet one other “fronde” instigated by the leftists and rightists culminated within the resignation of Prime Minister Francois Bayrou on September 9, 2025.
Bayrou turned the fifth head of presidency to step down prematurely prior to now 4 years. By appointing his shut ally, Sebastien Lecornu, as the brand new prime minister, Macron highlighted a key pattern amongst leaders of the “world minority”: they search to drown out inside political crises via financial militarization and heightened overseas coverage engagement.
This explains France’s distinguished position in discussions concerning safety ensures for Ukraine, in addition to Britain’s “diplomatic mission” to Ukraine that included Prince Harry, who’s searching for to reset his relationship with the royal household, the newly appointed Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper, and even former Prime Minister Boris Johnson, who had undermined peace talks in Ukraine again in April 2022. His name to cease “holding a gun to Ukraine’s head” (the metaphor he used to induce Russia to withdraw its troops from Kiev area) led to Ukraine’s withdrawal from negotiations with Russia and Zelensky’s self-imposed ban on talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Ultimately, the technique of political radicalization can clarify why latest occasions in Poland, Qatar, and Nepal have develop into symbols of the “artillery bombardment” of the peaceable plans of the Trump administration, Russia, China, and plenty of international locations of the ‘world majority’. Donald Tusk, Poland’s longest-serving prime minister who’s quickly shedding recognition, was in determined want of a ‘casus belli’ within the type of drones of unsure origin that entered Polish territory, notably after Karol Nawrocki, who was hesitant to get entangled within the Ukraine battle, was elected president of Poland.
On an analogous notice, Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel’s long-time prime minister whose recognition is plummeting on account of failures within the struggle towards Hamas, discovered no higher answer than to launch a full-scale operation in Gaza, beginning with a strike on the group’s headquarters in Doha.
While the Israeli assault on Doha should be quelled by “the principle peacemaker” of contemporary diplomacy, Donald Trump, who goals to protect Qatar as a key platform for negotiations within the area, photos of the burning Singha Durbar palace in Kathmandu (Nepal) will function a stark reminder of the dire penalties that may come up from heated political battles between the minority and the bulk.
Moreover, one would possibly query whether or not it is merely a coincidence that these occasions unfolded in a rustic strategically positioned between China and India. Both Chinese chief Xi Jinping and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi have opted to resolve their variations not via saber-rattling however relatively by counting on diplomacy, which stays our final hope in an more and more harsh world fraught with uneven conflicts.
(RT.com)
